Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 115.334288 133.618419 155.457936 183.947361 220.880951 268.271043 335.680047
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 90.325181 111.966284 140.741331 183.444487 248.469825 350.368414 539.293533
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 76.709766 99.000634 130.660778 181.798262 269.121458 429.404305 808.657559
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 66.941367 88.823400 121.377249 177.332785 281.807100 501.078641 1159.386040
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 60.432291 82.062354 115.530377 176.284712 299.451810 594.854165 1762.533348
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 55.723620 77.213896 111.644616 177.347985 321.482768 718.398726 2923.452774
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 50.691947 71.178747 104.768677 171.080953 324.887628 795.139644 4361.176487
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 48.721848 69.762438 105.469489 179.718854 367.932722 1057.428234 11788.554045
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 45.062575 65.151730 99.838240 173.913833 370.802123 1171.682554 24048.125701
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 42.785776 62.630167 97.663896 175.138699 394.689052 1434.635268 142042.249760
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 40.329099 59.567170 94.087541 172.439447 405.704069 1660.194911 NaN
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 39.745929 59.693968 96.596737 184.639150 473.921927 2543.250156 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 40.029145 61.618555 103.426080 211.218115 629.098720 6163.123728 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 37.837614 58.827646 100.242722 210.585859 671.652035 9510.825455 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 35.801562 56.129815 96.880188 208.568261 707.740366 15169.695397 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 33.747772 53.221279 92.697262 203.104944 721.740663 22692.535735 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 32.184450 51.128190 90.071813 201.824636 762.191708 46541.358966 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 30.932499 49.536784 88.381272 203.123518 824.290283 179236.717942 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 29.260195 46.998141 84.247585 195.478941 815.735691 412323.764078 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 28.759922 46.744739 85.394221 206.022514 969.051530 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 27.355380 44.573599 81.758194 198.931176 961.567745 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 26.497247 43.456676 80.553654 200.425542 1043.256161 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 25.469757 41.928360 78.197522 197.133755 1073.536211 NaN NaN